Bayesian hidden Markov model analysis of single-molecule force spectroscopy: Characterizing kinetics under measurement uncertainty

John D. Chodera, Phillip Elms, Frank Noé, Bettina Keller, Christian M. Kaiser, Aaron Ewall-Wice, Susan Marqusee, Carlos Bustamante, and Nina Singhal Hinrichs.
preprint: [arXiv]

We describe the general theory and implementation for a Bayesian extension of hidden Markov models applicable to the characterization of how measurement uncertainty and finite statistics can impact the confidence in rate constants and conformational state properties.